Our information Jones Nostril takes on the primary Premier League matches of 2023…
The Tottenham and Aston Villa match, on New 12 months’s Day at midday, broadcast reside on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Tottenham are all the time one defeat away from an all-out disaster – one would possibly come right here.
I am a agency believer in Antonio Conte’s strategies, however his contract state of affairs, amid studies of ongoing negotiations, elevated his facet’s pesky depth early in matches will bother them in some unspecified time in the future.
And when assessing match costs right here, the market is extremely skewed in favor of Tottenham, who’re very slim on 8/13 with Sky Wager to beat an bettering Aston Villa.
Conte’s males have conceded first in every of their final 9 matches in all competitions, shedding 2-0 in six of them. This can be a dependable physique of knowledge pointing to severe flaws in the best way Tottenham deal with matches.
Finally, a nimble, clever facet with good defensive intelligence will make Spurs pay the worth. Villa could possibly be that group underneath Unai Emery and he has proven actually constructive indicators along with his performances in opposition to Manchester United, Brighton and Liverpool. Emery’s facet deserved wins over United and Brighton when evaluating efficiency knowledge and making a wholesome anticipated objectives variety of 1.44 in opposition to Liverpool in a match the place conceding first to Jurgen Klopp’s facet is not very best from a state of the sport perspective.
There are numerous methods to make Aston Villa subsequent to your cash. Maintaining it easy and supporting them to keep away from defeat at 5/4 with Sky Wager standing out as the important thing recreation, however scoring Villa first at 15/8 and trustworthy to profitable at half-time at 4/1 can be value contemplating.
Predict the rating: 1-2 | Jones is aware of your greatest wager: Aston Villa win or draw (5/4 with Sky Wager – wager right here!)
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea match, New 12 months’s Day at 4.30pm, reside broadcast on Sky Sports activities – Play SUPER 6 to win £250,000!
Match charges look proper to me, with Chelsea prone to get the job finished at odds with that further high quality within the last third, particularly with Morgan Gibbs-White lacking out to the hosts, however Forest will dig in and create issues for London at numerous factors.
One space that may be fertile for them is about items.
I assumed Chelsea seemed shaky when defending the penalty space underneath stress from corners and free-kicks in opposition to Bournemouth, Cherry making 0.29 of the anticipated objectives by set-pieces with Lloyd Kelly and Dominic Solanke each lacking a aim from shut vary. Since Graham Potter took over, Chelsea’s total defensive metrics from set items have began to plummet. They shipped 33 photographs from such situations to a predicted objectives again of three.18 — solely six groups had worse manufacturing than the day Potter took over.
With that in thoughts, it is positively value wanting on the coronary heart of Forest’s protection for risk.
Since Joe Worrall and Willy Boley had been paired collectively 4 video games in the past, they’ve had eight photographs between them and that is not together with Boley’s disallowed aim in opposition to Manchester United.
Worrall is 13/8 with Sky Wager and Boly is 2/1 to have not less than one shot within the participant photographs market. These two costs sound nice – and I would again a 4/5 bid for both of them for not less than one probability in opposition to Chelsea as a part of the deal 1/3 New 12 months’s Eve double.