steve curry is black swan

steve curry

steve curry
picture: Getty Images

The black swan theory was an idea developed by a former stock trader Tel breezeeb in 2007. As explained by Taleb, a theoretical black swan can be summed up as an event or outside of realistic expectations that has a great impact on history and makes experts come up with explanations, but not until long after the fact has occurred. The rise of the personal computer, the rise of the Internet, and the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand are notable examples of Taleb’s black swan theory. TThis black swan reveals our very limited understanding of the world. To the basketball world, Steph Curry is that black swan.

When he became a Black Swan, Curry propelled himself into the top 10 debate player of all time. If you look at any respectable rankings of the top 10 players in NBA history, you can say that every single player or player on the sidelines was always destined to be in that conversation. Larry Bird was calling Jordan the Undercover God at the end of his second season.

Kobe Bryant pioneered the pro prep pipeline. But he was also a mirror image of Jordan expecting greatness from him. Magic, Bird, Kareem, LeBron, Shaq, Wilt, Duncan, Hakeem Olajuwon and Bill Russell were selected first in their special drafts. The Hall of Fame was a given franchise and a captain of NBA titles was the bottom line of their career to-do lists. Oscar Robertson ended his collegiate career as the all-time NCAA top scorer and was named Player of the Year in his honor.

Steve was a major mediocre phenomenon, who got into the draft because he was too young to play the shooting ranger and teams weren’t sure how he would transition to the points rule. His first four years

were marred by ankle injuries.

At 6-foot-3, Curry is the smallest player in the aforementioned group of greats. If you divide NBA 75 legends into divisions by size, Curry occupies a tier of his own within the ‘6-foot-4 & under’ class. Relative to his size, there’s a wider gap between Curry’s accomplishments and those of Jerry West, Isaiah Thomas, or Allen Iverson than there is between LeBron and MJ or Shaq, Olajuwon, Wilt, or Tim Duncan in the heavyweight division.

In the ensuing decades, we might witness an undersized superstar guard come along to take advantage of modern spacing and shatter Steph’s 3-point records. And there will be other scoring champs smaller than Curry, but he’s the first below-the-rim guard to be the anchor of a bonafide dynasty.

After Durant left for Brooklyn, the Warriors were counted out again. Their acquisition of Andrew Wiggins was divisive. Bob Myers picking James Wiseman over LaMelo Ball was viewed as a blunder that would sink the Warriors’ trajectory. The league was beginning to catch up to their offense and Curry was in his age-34 season. We should have seen this coming, A lack of imagination once again led too many to count the 3-time champions out.

The Big 3 of Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay Thompson were graciously fading into obscurity during their early to mid-30s. Expectations for Klay Thompson 2.0 were modest after he suffered an ACL tear and Achilles rupture in consecutive years. Before this season, Draymond Green was frequently mentioned as one of the NBA’s most overpaid aging assets. Iggy was traded to Memphis.

Even all the way up to Game 4 of the 2022 Finals, Golden State retained its black swan status. At the beginning of the 2022 postseason, Curry was slumping like we’d never seen him before. Two months later, he averaged 31.2 points, five assists, 5.8 rebounds, shot 44.2 percent from distance and earned his first Finals MVP. Prior to Game 1, FiveThirtyEight’s The prediction model gave Golden State a 17 percent chance of beating Boston despite their home advantage. After four matches, those odds have doubled to 29 percent. Basketball’s strength index algorithm blew FiveThirtyEight in the World Cup Finals worse than it did in the 2016 election. Even Steve Kerr called their championship, the An unexpected title out of the nine he won as a player or coach.

The first title was Launchpad. Charles Barclay’s 2015 announcement that “Archery teams don’t win championships“It is a symbol of the feelings of folk warriors of the past.

The energy has shifted repeatedly.

The first title was the launch pad for Curry’s legacy. His fourth title is a monument to his accomplishments and probably means more than any title they’ve won. It may be the first black swan that surprises many people twice. Carrie’s shooting changed the paradigm for the better or worse. It repeats often, but never. Golden State is back as the favorites for the 2023 title. Episode 5 will make Curry’s status as the top 10 player of all time indisputable.